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OUR COMPANY AFFILIATES

CBRE GROUP

CBRE Group, Inc. is the world’s largest commercial real estate services and investment firm, with 2019 revenues of $23.9 billion and more than 100,000 employees (excluding affiliate offices). CBRE has been included in the Fortune 500 since 2008, ranking #128 in 2020. CBRE offers a broad range of integrated services, including facilities, transaction and project management; property management; investment management; appraisal and valuation; property leasing; strategic consulting; property sales; mortgage services and development services.

INVESTMENT SERVICES

CBRE Global Investors, combined with CBRE Clarion Securities and CBRE Caledon, is one of the world’s leading real asset investment managers with $109.6 billion in assets under management.

Built up over more than 40 years, our unparalleled platform is focused on real assets, giving our institutional clients access to real estate and infrastructure in the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific. Our clients benefit from a complete range of investment solutions including equity and debt, direct and indirect, and listed and unlisted strategies.

Trammell Crow Company, founded in Dallas, Texas in 1948, is one of the nation’s oldest and most prolific developers of, and investors in, commercial real estate.The CBRE Global Investors and Trammell Crow Company platforms make up the Real Estate Investments division of CBRE Group.

The Real Estate Investments division is led by
Mike Lafitte, Global CEO, Real Estate Investments.

BLOGS

Regularly released content on the state of the real estate and infrastructure industry are produced by our subject matter experts and shared on their blogs. A selection of them can be found below.

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Column by Andrew Angeli, Head of Research & Strategy EMEA

Unprecedented times and EMEA Market Outlook

Andrew Angeli

Head of Research & Strategy EMEA

Views 1167 times

Unprecedented times and EMEA Market Outlook

Take a moment to reflect on the past month. I bet it was like none other experienced in your career. In the span of a few weeks, the global landscape changed in a profound way, and we are now adapting to a reality that seemingly only science fiction could have foretold. National borders have been closed, the skies are devoid of airplanes and wildlife is returning to our cities. Of course, our asset class has been impacted significantly as mobility restrictions warp the role of real estate. What is the value of a commercial asset when it is unable to operate commercially? Why pay a contracted rent if exempted by exceptional circumstances? How do you commence investment due diligence when unable to visit an asset?

For our Strategy and Research team, the unprecedented series of events has coincided with our bi-annual House Views process. We have taken an agile approach to assessing our assumptions, reading market evidence and updating our property forecasts. And while devising point-level return forecasts may be fraught with folly, the evolution of structural trends gives way to high conviction investment themes that are highly relevant in the current environment. Underlying all of these is an unwavering focus on the sustainability of cash flows.

At an overarching portfolio level this has several implications. The immediate focus must be on income durability, that which is in-place but also on space that is re-let should circumstances dictate. Attention to credit strength and the robustness of tenant business models is paramount. But so too is having the flexibility and foresight to work with valued tenants who may temporarily be facing hardship. Where possible, the bias should be towards agreeing longer leases which may provide reversionary potential even if market rents begin to fall. Core locations in Winning Cities provide the best chances of achieving these income-oriented recommendations.  

When looking at the different property sectors, current restrictions on mobility accelerate the move toward e-commerce and away from physical retail.  This suggests that logistics assets leased to online fulfilment and cold storage operators should prove resilient in the near term. Conversely, the precarious occupational environment for most retail means NOI assumptions are being slashed and yields are under pressure. Because of this, our current European model portfolio suggests further upweighting logistics holdings and down weighting non-essential retail. Offices should fare comparatively well due to underlying low vacancy rates. However, an accelerated move to agile working and distressed flexible office providers warrants vigilance. And with so many now living, learning, working and playing from home, investing in residential can accomplish multiple objectives. Furthermore, tenant-friendly government intervention helps sustain residential occupancy rates and ultimately cash flows. And that’s what it’s all about right now.